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¿Robot o humano?

Any other job (build your own)

A person doing the job vs A robot doing the job

Estimaciones modeladas por Whirrwork, no hechos. Metodología · Historial de aciertos

Humano · Al año92.465 US$Person
Robot · Al año56.213 US$Buy
Plazo de recuperación23 meses
Año de cruceyaBase-case year (earliest to latest across scenarios)

On these numbers the robot option is clearly cheaper.

Estados Unidos · USD · BLS OEWS May 2025 national medians by SOC occupation

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Carga de trabajo
Supuesto

Units of work per day.

Supuesto

Operating hours per day.

Supuesto

Working days per month.

Supuesto

Months per year.

Personal

BLS OEWS May 2025 national median hourly wage, SOC 00-0000.

Wages and salaries were 70.0% of total employer compensation cost for private industry workers in June 2026 (ECEC), so total cost = wage / 0.70.

Nominal 4.4% a year, 2015-2025 (ILOSTAT hourly earnings).

Supuesto

Units per person-hour.

Robot
Supuesto

Robot units per hour relative to a person.

Supuesto

Robot price. Replace with a quote.

Supuesto

Lease per robot-month.

Supuesto

RaaS per robot-month.

Supuesto

Integration. In factories this is often 1-3x the robot price.

Supuesto

Yearly maintenance share of price.

Supuesto

Useful life in years.

Supuesto

Availability.

Supuesto

Work lost to faults.

Supuesto

Work that stays human.

Supuesto

Staff minutes per robot-hour.

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kWh per robot-hour.

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Electricity price per kWh (USD). Check your bill; energy is rarely a big line.

Finanzas
Supuesto

Annual financing / discount rate. Nobody publishes yours; 8% is a round mid-2026 commercial borrowing guess.

Supuesto

Years in the NPV comparison.

Supuesto

Share of a human service price that is labour (rises with wages). Used to escalate and to adjust US service prices to other countries.

Supuesto

Share of a robot service price that is labour (pilot, technician). The rest is equipment, which learning curves make cheaper.

Supuesto

Share of a lease or RaaS fee that pays for hardware (learns down). The rest is service and support (moves with wages).

Download these results (CSV)

Resultados

OpciónAl mesAl añoPer unit (unit)Inversión inicialPlazo de recuperaciónBreak-even utilisation5-year NPV vs baseline
Humano Person Referencia 7705 US$92.465 US$3,50 US$— — — —
Robot Buy
Robots needed: 2
4684 US$56.213 US$2,13 US$120.000 US$ 23 meses 29 %
Utilisation 63 %
170.382 US$
Robot Lease
Robots needed: 2
5382 US$64.582 US$2,45 US$20.000 US$ 7.5 meses 37 %
Utilisation 63 %
135.899 US$
Robot RaaS
Robots needed: 2
5382 US$64.582 US$2,45 US$20.000 US$ 7.5 meses 37 %
Utilisation 63 %
135.899 US$

What moves the answer most

Each bar shows the 5-year NPV of the best robot option when one input moves to the low or high end of its range, with the rest held at your values.

5-year NPV vs baseline: Buy5-year NPV vs baseline: BuyRobot purchase pricelow value: 25000 → 227.118 US$high value: 100000 → 56.909 US$Robot output vs a personlow value: 0.5 → 77.949 US$high value: 2 → 244.967 US$Hourly wagelow value: 19.608000000000004 → 109.473 US$high value: 29.412 → 231.291 US$Employer on-cost multiplierlow value: 1.2790000000000001 → 138.414 US$high value: 1.579 → 202.350 US$Integration and setuplow value: 5000 → 185.382 US$high value: 60000 → 130.382 US$Financing and discount ratelow value: 0.05 → 193.803 US$high value: 0.12 → 142.737 US$Wage growth per yearlow value: 0.0236 → 159.351 US$high value: 0.0636 → 181.836 US$Electricity price per kWhlow value: 0.08 → 170.705 US$high value: 0.3 → 169.690 US$170.382 US$low valuehigh valueSource: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/generic/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.

Cost per unit to 2035

Real terms (today's money). Robot hardware follows Wright's law; wages follow each country's history. Shaded band: robots-slow to robots-fast scenarios. Estimaciones modeladas por Whirrwork, no hechos.

ChartCosto humano por unidad (Base), Costo del robot por unidad (Base), Costo del robot por unidad (Robots: avance rápido), Costo del robot por unidad (Robots: avance lento). Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/generic/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.0,00 US$1,00 US$2,00 US$3,00 US$4,00 US$2026202720282029203020312032203320342035USD / unitscenario rangeCosto humano por unidad (Base)Costo del robot por unidad (Base)Costo del robot por unidad (Robot…Costo del robot por unidad (Robot…Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/generic/). Modelled estimate, not a f…

Año de cruce: ya

What the spreadsheet misses

Seguridad
Dull, dirty and dangerous tasks are where robots most often pay off beyond cost.
Calidad
Robots repeat; people adapt.
Flexibilidad
The more the job changes week to week, the more a person is worth.
Edge cases
List the exceptions before you buy; they are usually the expensive part.
Customer experience
Ask customers, not vendors.
Jobs and redeployment
Plan redeployment and training first; it decides whether staff help or hinder.
Regulación
Machinery, privacy and sector rules vary by country.

Relacionado

Fuentes de esta página

Las notas y las fuentes están en inglés; la versión en inglés es la de referencia.

  1. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (median hourly wage by occupation) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-05
  2. Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, June 2026: wages and salaries 70.0% of private-industry compensation (series CMU2020000000000P) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2026-06
  3. Mean nominal hourly earnings of employees by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), DF_EAR_EHRA_SEX_OCU_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), from national labour force and earnings surveys, 2025
  4. Labour cost levels by NACE Rev. 2 activity (lc_lci_lev): Germany 2022-2025, total labour cost vs wages and salaries per hour Eurostat, 2025
  5. Rates and thresholds for employers 2025 to 2026 (employer Class 1 NIC 15% above £5,000) HM Revenue & Customs, 2025-04-06
  6. 令和6年賃金構造基本統計調査 (Basic Survey on Wage Structure 2024), table 1 by occupation Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (via e-Stat), 2024-06
  7. Average monthly earnings of employees by sex and economic activity, DF_EAR_EMTA_SEX_ECO_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), 2022
  8. Average annual wage of employed persons in urban units in 2024 (by position and by region) National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025-05-20
  9. Euro foreign exchange reference rates (cross rates to USD), via Frankfurter European Central Bank, 2026-10-23
  10. Wright, T. P. (1936). Factors affecting the cost of airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 3(4), 122-128 Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 1936
  11. Nagy, B., Farmer, J. D., Bui, Q. M., & Trancik, J. E. (2013). Statistical basis for predicting technological progress. PLoS ONE, 8(2), e52669 (62 technologies; Wright's law among the best hindcasters; errors grow with horizon) PLoS ONE, 2013