Robô ou humano?
Roof inspection
Inspector on a ladder vs Drone roof inspection
Estimativas modeladas pela Whirrwork, não fatos. Metodologia · Histórico de acertos
On these numbers people are clearly cheaper.
Estados Unidos · USD · BLS OEWS May 2025 national medians by SOC occupation
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Resultados
| Opção | Por mês | Por ano | Per unit (roof) | Investimento inicial | Prazo de retorno | Break-even utilisation | 5-year NPV vs baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humano Ladder inspection Referência | US$ 1.375 | US$ 16.500 | US$ 138 | — | — | — | — |
| Robô Drone inspection | US$ 2.613 | US$ 31.350 | US$ 261 | — | nunca | — | -US$ 62.053 |
What moves the answer most
Each bar shows the 5-year NPV of the best robot option when one input moves to the low or high end of its range, with the rest held at your values.
Cost per unit to 2035
Real terms (today's money). Robot hardware follows Wright's law; wages follow each country's history. Shaded band: robots-slow to robots-fast scenarios. Estimativas modeladas pela Whirrwork, não fatos.
Ano da virada: não antes de 2035
What the spreadsheet misses
- Segurança
- Falls from roofs are a leading cause of construction deaths; steep or fragile roofs are where drones earn their fee.
- Qualidade
- Drones capture every slope and thermal data; a person can feel soft decking.
- Flexibilidade
- Inspectors also check attics and gutters by hand.
- Edge cases
- Trees, power lines and no-fly zones near airports limit flights.
- Customer experience
- Photo reports help insurance claims.
- Jobs and redeployment
- Inspectors increasingly fly drones themselves: the human and robot are often the same person.
- Regulamentação
- Commercial drone pilots need FAA Part 107 (US) or local equivalent.
Relacionados
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- Essay: when robots beat humans on cost
- Projeções
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- API and MCP tool
- Research hub
Fontes desta página
As notas e as fontes estão em inglês; a versão em inglês é a referência.
- Roof inspection cost: traditional physical inspection $75-$200 HomeGuide, 2026
- Drone roof inspection cost: standard visual $150-$400; thermal $400-$600 HomeGuide, 2026-01
- Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (median hourly wage by occupation) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-05
- Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, June 2026: wages and salaries 70.0% of private-industry compensation (series CMU2020000000000P) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2026-06
- Mean nominal hourly earnings of employees by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), DF_EAR_EHRA_SEX_OCU_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), from national labour force and earnings surveys, 2025
- Labour cost levels by NACE Rev. 2 activity (lc_lci_lev): Germany 2022-2025, total labour cost vs wages and salaries per hour Eurostat, 2025
- Rates and thresholds for employers 2025 to 2026 (employer Class 1 NIC 15% above £5,000) HM Revenue & Customs, 2025-04-06
- 令和6年賃金構造基本統計調査 (Basic Survey on Wage Structure 2024), table 1 by occupation Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (via e-Stat), 2024-06
- Average monthly earnings of employees by sex and economic activity, DF_EAR_EMTA_SEX_ECO_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), 2022
- Average annual wage of employed persons in urban units in 2024 (by position and by region) National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025-05-20
- Euro foreign exchange reference rates (cross rates to USD), via Frankfurter European Central Bank, 2026-10-23
- Wright, T. P. (1936). Factors affecting the cost of airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 3(4), 122-128 Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 1936
- Nagy, B., Farmer, J. D., Bui, Q. M., & Trancik, J. E. (2013). Statistical basis for predicting technological progress. PLoS ONE, 8(2), e52669 (62 technologies; Wright's law among the best hindcasters; errors grow with horizon) PLoS ONE, 2013