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Roboter oder Mensch?

Window and facade cleaning

Rope-access or lift crew (contract) vs Cleaning-drone service

Modellschätzungen von Whirrwork, keine Fakten. Methodik · Trefferbilanz

Mensch · Pro Jahr150.000 $Rope or lift contractor
Roboter · Pro Jahr54.000 $Drone cleaning service
Amortisationimmediate
Jahr der KostenwendebereitsBase-case year (earliest to latest across scenarios)

On these numbers the robot option is clearly cheaper.

Vereinigte Staaten · USD · BLS OEWS May 2025 national medians by SOC occupation

Mit eigenen Zahlen rechnen

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Arbeitsmenge
Annahme

Facade square feet cleaned per year (e.g. 60,000 sq ft twice).

Annahme

Working hours per day.

Annahme

Working days per month.

Annahme

Months per year (volume is annual).

Personal

BLS OEWS May 2025 national median hourly wage, SOC 37-2019.

Wages and salaries were 70.0% of total employer compensation cost for private industry workers in June 2026 (ECEC), so total cost = wage / 0.70.

Nominal 4.4% a year, 2015-2025 (ILOSTAT hourly earnings).

Preise

Low-to-mid point of conventional lift/rope bids $0.50-$3.50/sq ft. Source is a drone cleaning company, so treat as their view of the competition.

Upper end of commercial drone-cleaning published rates ($0.12-$0.25 Miami; $0.25-$0.50 Southern California).

Roboter
Annahme

Facade sq ft per drone-hour including setup and moves.

Abgeleitet Lucid Bots

Midpoint of Lucid Bots Sherpa operator subscription $2,950-$4,600/month.

Annahme

Pilot certification, insurance and gear to run your own drone.

Annahme

Subscription commitment in years.

Annahme

Share of working hours flyable (wind, rain, battery swaps).

Annahme

Work lost to faults.

Annahme

Share still done by rope or lift (recessed windows, detail work, inspection).

Annahme

Crew minutes per drone-hour: pilot plus a ground person for the hose and the public.

Annahme

kWh per drone-hour.

Annahme

Electricity price per kWh (USD). Check your bill; energy is rarely a big line.

Finanzen
Annahme

Annual financing / discount rate. Nobody publishes yours; 8% is a round mid-2026 commercial borrowing guess.

Annahme

Years in the NPV comparison.

Annahme

Share of a human service price that is labour (rises with wages). Used to escalate and to adjust US service prices to other countries.

Annahme

Share of a robot service price that is labour (pilot, technician). The rest is equipment, which learning curves make cheaper.

Annahme

Share of a lease or RaaS fee that pays for hardware (learns down). The rest is service and support (moves with wages).

Download these results (CSV)

Ergebnisse

OptionPro MonatPro JahrPer unit (sq ft)EinmalkostenAmortisationBreak-even utilisation5-year NPV vs baseline
Mensch Rope or lift contractor Vergleichsbasis 12.500 $150.000 $1,25 $— — — —
Roboter Drone cleaning service 4.500 $54.000 $0,45 $— immediate — 416.012 $
Roboter Run your own cleaning drone (subscription) 6.961 $83.532 $0,696 $5.000 $ 0.9 Monate 2 %
Utilisation 6 %
299.089 $

What moves the answer most

Each bar shows the 5-year NPV of the best robot option when one input moves to the low or high end of its range, with the rest held at your values.

5-year NPV vs baseline: Drone cleaning service5-year NPV vs baseline: Drone cleaning serviceWorkloadlow value: 30000 → 104.003 $high value: 500000 → 1.733.382 $Rope or lift contractorlow value: 0.5 → 105.241 $high value: 3.5 → 1.348.323 $Work that stays humanlow value: 0.05 → 494.014 $high value: 0.4 → 312.009 $Drone cleaning servicelow value: 0.12 → 469.020 $high value: 0.5 → 314.073 $Financing and discount ratelow value: 0.05 → 447.747 $high value: 0.12 → 378.356 $Wage growth per yearlow value: 0.0236 → 405.945 $high value: 0.0636 → 426.464 $416.012 $low valuehigh valueSource: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/window-facade-cleaning/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.

Cost per unit to 2035

Real terms (today's money). Robot hardware follows Wright's law; wages follow each country's history. Shaded band: robots-slow to robots-fast scenarios. Modellschätzungen von Whirrwork, keine Fakten.

ChartPersonalkosten pro Einheit (Basis), Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Basis), Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Roboter: schneller Fortschritt), Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Roboter: langsamer Fortschritt). Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/window-facade-cleaning/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.0,00 $0,50 $1,00 $2026202720282029203020312032203320342035USD / sq ftscenario rangePersonalkosten pro Einheit (Basis)Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Basis)Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Robote…Roboterkosten pro Einheit (Robote…Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/window-facade-cleaning/). Modelled es…

Jahr der Kostenwende: bereits

What the spreadsheet misses

Sicherheit
Takes people off ropes and lifts for routine washes, the main reason buildings try it.
Qualität
Soft-wash rinsing is not squeegee-clean glass; ask for before and after photos.
Flexibilität
Rope teams also inspect sealant and fix things.
Edge cases
Wind, tall towers, dense downtowns and airspace rules limit drones.
Customer experience
Tenants prefer not having a person at the window.
Jobs and redeployment
Rope access shifts toward inspection and repair.
Regulierung
Drone pilot certification (FAA Part 107 or local equivalent), tethered-flight and water-runoff rules apply.

Siehe auch

Quellen auf dieser Seite

Hinweise und Quellen sind auf Englisch; maßgeblich ist die englische Fassung.

  1. Conventional lift/rope exterior cleaning bids $0.50-$3.50 per sq ft (for comparison with drone cleaning) Sky PSI (drone cleaning company), 2026-10 · vendor
  2. Drone facade/window cleaning, commercial buildings: $0.12-$0.25 per sq ft Vista Drone Cleaning, 2026-10 · vendor
  3. Lucid Bots Sherpa cleaning drone subscription for operators: $2,950-$4,600 per month Lucid Bots, 2026-10 · vendor
  4. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (median hourly wage by occupation) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-05
  5. Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, June 2026: wages and salaries 70.0% of private-industry compensation (series CMU2020000000000P) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2026-06
  6. Mean nominal hourly earnings of employees by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), DF_EAR_EHRA_SEX_OCU_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), from national labour force and earnings surveys, 2025
  7. Labour cost levels by NACE Rev. 2 activity (lc_lci_lev): Germany 2022-2025, total labour cost vs wages and salaries per hour Eurostat, 2025
  8. Rates and thresholds for employers 2025 to 2026 (employer Class 1 NIC 15% above £5,000) HM Revenue & Customs, 2025-04-06
  9. 令和6年賃金構造基本統計調査 (Basic Survey on Wage Structure 2024), table 1 by occupation Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (via e-Stat), 2024-06
  10. Average monthly earnings of employees by sex and economic activity, DF_EAR_EMTA_SEX_ECO_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), 2022
  11. Average annual wage of employed persons in urban units in 2024 (by position and by region) National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025-05-20
  12. Euro foreign exchange reference rates (cross rates to USD), via Frankfurter European Central Bank, 2026-10-23
  13. Wright, T. P. (1936). Factors affecting the cost of airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 3(4), 122-128 Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 1936
  14. Nagy, B., Farmer, J. D., Bui, Q. M., & Trancik, J. E. (2013). Statistical basis for predicting technological progress. PLoS ONE, 8(2), e52669 (62 technologies; Wright's law among the best hindcasters; errors grow with horizon) PLoS ONE, 2013