روبوت أم إنسان؟
Commercial floor cleaning
Cleaner with a walk-behind autoscrubber vs Autonomous floor scrubber
تقديرات من نموذج Whirrwork، وليست حقائق. المنهجية · سجل التوقعات
On these numbers it is close: decide on the things that are not cost. The robot would sit idle most of the time; it pays off at higher volume or longer hours. Payback is longer than three years, which is longer than many robot contracts and some robot companies.
الولايات المتحدة · USD · BLS OEWS May 2025 national medians by SOC occupation
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النتائج
| الخيار | شهريًا | سنويًا | Per unit (sq ft) | التكلفة الأولية | فترة الاسترداد | Break-even utilisation | 5-year NPV vs baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| إنسان Staff cleaner خط الأساس | ٢٬٤٠١ US$ | ٢٨٬٨١٧ US$ | ٠٫٠٠٣ US$ | — | — | — | — |
| روبوت Buy a robot scrubber | ٢٬٣٢٨ US$ | ٢٧٬٩٣١ US$ | ٠٫٠٠٣ US$ | ٦٤٬٧٤٠ US$ | 45 أشهر | ٣٢٪ Utilisation ٣٤٪ |
١٣٬١٨٧ US$ |
| روبوت Lease a robot scrubber | ٣٬١٧٥ US$ | ٣٨٬٠٩٨ US$ | ٠٫٠٠٤ US$ | ٢٬٠٠٠ US$ | أبدًا | ٤٨٪ Utilisation ٣٤٪ |
-٣٠٬٤٣٩ US$ |
| روبوت Robot scrubber as a service | ٢٬٣٤٩ US$ | ٢٨٬١٨٦ US$ | ٠٫٠٠٣ US$ | ٢٬٠٠٠ US$ | 21 أشهر | ٣٣٪ Utilisation ٣٤٪ |
١٠٬٢٩٨ US$ |
What moves the answer most
Each bar shows the 5-year NPV of the best robot option when one input moves to the low or high end of its range, with the rest held at your values.
Cost per unit to 2035
Real terms (today's money). Robot hardware follows Wright's law; wages follow each country's history. Shaded band: robots-slow to robots-fast scenarios. تقديرات من نموذج Whirrwork، وليست حقائق.
سنة التقاطع: الآن
What the spreadsheet misses
- السلامة
- Fewer slips while floors are wet if the robot cleans after hours; a 300 kg machine near shoppers needs working sensors and sensible routes.
- الجودة
- Robots are consistent on open floor and log what they cleaned. They miss edges and spot spills unless someone follows up.
- المرونة
- A cleaner handles bathrooms, bins and the unexpected; a scrubber scrubs.
- Edge cases
- Cluttered, changing layouts (pallets left in aisles) kill robot productivity fast.
- Customer experience
- Usually neutral to positive in stores; noise at night is a non-issue.
- Jobs and redeployment
- The common pattern is redeploying cleaners to detail work rather than cutting hours one-for-one; plan the redeployment before the robot arrives.
- التنظيم
- No licence needed. Check lease terms for damage liability.
ذو صلة
- الطابق التجاري Prices and providers for this job
- فراغ السجاد التجاري Prices and providers for this job
- Essay: when robots beat humans on cost
- التوقعات
- المنهجية
- API and MCP tool
- Research hub
مصادر هذه الصفحة
الملاحظات والمصادر بالإنجليزية، والنص الإنجليزي هو المرجع.
- ISSA 612 cleaning times: 20-inch walk-behind automatic scrubber about 9,274 sq ft per hour; wet mop about 1,333-1,429 ISSA, as reproduced by Parish Supply, 2026-10
- Neo 2 disc cleaning head technical specifications: maximum theoretical productivity 33,583 ft²/h (26-inch) Avidbots, 2026-10 · vendor
- Gausium autonomous scrubbers: purchase $29,600-$95,880; RaaS $829-$2,669/month on a 36-month term RobotLAB (reseller), 2026-10 · vendor
- Avidbots Neo lease $2,250-$2,900/month, as quoted by an Avidbots representative MLive, 2024-01
- Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (median hourly wage by occupation) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-05
- Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, June 2026: wages and salaries 70.0% of private-industry compensation (series CMU2020000000000P) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2026-06
- Mean nominal hourly earnings of employees by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), DF_EAR_EHRA_SEX_OCU_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), from national labour force and earnings surveys, 2025
- Labour cost levels by NACE Rev. 2 activity (lc_lci_lev): Germany 2022-2025, total labour cost vs wages and salaries per hour Eurostat, 2025
- Rates and thresholds for employers 2025 to 2026 (employer Class 1 NIC 15% above £5,000) HM Revenue & Customs, 2025-04-06
- 令和6年賃金構造基本統計調査 (Basic Survey on Wage Structure 2024), table 1 by occupation Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (via e-Stat), 2024-06
- Average monthly earnings of employees by sex and economic activity, DF_EAR_EMTA_SEX_ECO_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), 2022
- Average annual wage of employed persons in urban units in 2024 (by position and by region) National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025-05-20
- Euro foreign exchange reference rates (cross rates to USD), via Frankfurter European Central Bank, 2026-10-23
- Wright, T. P. (1936). Factors affecting the cost of airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 3(4), 122-128 Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 1936
- Nagy, B., Farmer, J. D., Bui, Q. M., & Trancik, J. E. (2013). Statistical basis for predicting technological progress. PLoS ONE, 8(2), e52669 (62 technologies; Wright's law among the best hindcasters; errors grow with horizon) PLoS ONE, 2013