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روبوت أم إنسان؟

Pool cleaning

Weekly pool service vs Robotic pool cleaner (you still do chemistry)

تقديرات من نموذج Whirrwork، وليست حقائق. المنهجية · سجل التوقعات

إنسان · سنويًا‏١٬٥٠٠ US$Pool service
روبوت · سنويًا‏١٬١٥٦ US$Buy a robotic cleaner
فترة الاسترداد22 أشهر
سنة التقاطعالآنBase-case year (earliest to latest across scenarios)

On these numbers the robot option is clearly cheaper.

الولايات المتحدة · USD · BLS OEWS May 2025 national medians by SOC occupation

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افتراض

One month of pool care.

افتراض

Robot cycle hours per day it runs.

افتراض

Cleaning cycles per month.

افتراض

Months the pool is open.

العمالة
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

BLS OEWS May 2025 national median hourly wage, SOC 37-2011.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Wages and salaries were 70.0% of total employer compensation cost for private industry workers in June 2026 (ECEC), so total cost = wage / 0.70.

ilostat.ilo.org

Nominal 4.4% a year, 2015-2025 (ILOSTAT hourly earnings).

الأسعار
مشتق PoolRobots.com

Midpoint of $100-$150/month weekly professional service.

الروبوت
افتراض

A month of cleaning needs about 24 robot-hours (8 cycles of 3 hours).

مشتق Maytronics US store

Midpoint of $849-$1,449 mid-range Dolphin models.

افتراض

Plug it in.

افتراض

Yearly parts (filters, brushes, eventually a motor) as a share of price.

افتراض

Useful life in years.

افتراض

Availability.

افتراض

Months lost to faults.

افتراض

Share of the service you still need: water chemistry, filter and equipment checks. Many owners do these themselves (then set 0).

افتراض

Your time is not costed.

افتراض

kWh per robot-hour.

افتراض

Electricity price per kWh (USD). Check your bill; energy is rarely a big line.

التمويل
افتراض

Annual financing / discount rate. Nobody publishes yours; 8% is a round mid-2026 commercial borrowing guess.

افتراض

Years in the NPV comparison.

افتراض

Share of a human service price that is labour (rises with wages). Used to escalate and to adjust US service prices to other countries.

افتراض

Share of a robot service price that is labour (pilot, technician). The rest is equipment, which learning curves make cheaper.

افتراض

Share of a lease or RaaS fee that pays for hardware (learns down). The rest is service and support (moves with wages).

Download these results (CSV)

النتائج

الخيارشهريًاسنويًاPer unit (month of service)التكلفة الأوليةفترة الاستردادBreak-even utilisation5-year NPV vs baseline
إنسان Pool service خط الأساس ‏١٢٥ US$‏١٬٥٠٠ US$‏١٢٥ US$— — — —
روبوت Buy a robotic cleaner ‏٩٦٫٣٧ US$‏١٬١٥٦ US$‏٩٦٫٣٧ US$‏١٬١٤٩ US$ 22 أشهر ٢٧٪؜
Utilisation ٥٢٪؜
 ‏١٬٥٩٦ US$

What moves the answer most

Each bar shows the 5-year NPV of the best robot option when one input moves to the low or high end of its range, with the rest held at your values.

5-year NPV vs baseline: Buy a robotic cleaner5-year NPV vs baseline: Buy a robotic cleanerRobot purchase pricelow value: 849 → ‏١٬٩٩٤ US$high value: 2999 → ؜-‏٨٦٣ US$Work that stays humanlow value: 0 → ‏٣٬١٩١ US$high value: 0.7 → ‏٣٤٧ US$Active months per yearlow value: 5 → ؜-‏٢٢٦ US$high value: 12 → ‏١٬٥٩٦ US$Pool servicelow value: 100 → ‏٩٦٨ US$high value: 150 → ‏٢٬٢٢٤ US$Useful life or contractlow value: 3 → ‏٩٤٨ US$high value: 7 → ‏١٬٨١٦ US$Maintenance per yearlow value: 0.04 → ‏١٬٧٨٥ US$high value: 0.15 → ‏١٬٢٦٥ US$Financing and discount ratelow value: 0.05 → ‏١٬٨٠٥ US$high value: 0.12 → ‏١٬٣٤٧ US$Wage growth per yearlow value: 0.0236 → ‏١٬٥٢٥ US$high value: 0.0636 → ‏١٬٦٦٩ US$Electricity price per kWhlow value: 0.08 → ‏١٬٦٠٤ US$high value: 0.3 → ‏١٬٥٧٨ US$‏١٬٥٩٦ US$0low valuehigh valueSource: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/pool-cleaning/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.

Cost per unit to 2035

Real terms (today's money). Robot hardware follows Wright's law; wages follow each country's history. Shaded band: robots-slow to robots-fast scenarios. تقديرات من نموذج Whirrwork، وليست حقائق.

Chartتكلفة الإنسان لكل وحدة (الأساسي), تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الأساسي), تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الروبوتات: تقدّم سريع), تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الروبوتات: تقدّم بطيء). Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/pool-cleaning/). Modelled estimate, not a fact.‏٠٫٠٠ US$‏٥٠٫٠٠ US$‏١٠٠ US$2026202720282029203020312032203320342035USD / month of servicescenario rangeتكلفة الإنسان لكل وحدة (الأساسي)تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الأساسي)تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الروبوتات…تكلفة الروبوت لكل وحدة (الروبوتات…Source: Whirrwork Robot-or-Human model v1.0.0 (whirrwork.com/tools/robot-vs-human/pool-cleaning/). Modelled estimate, n…

سنة التقاطع: الآن

What the spreadsheet misses

السلامة
Wrong water chemistry is the real risk; a cleaning robot does not test water.
الجودة
Robots scrub walls and floors well; leaves and debris loads vary.
المرونة
A service catches failing pumps and leaks early.
Edge cases
Oddly shaped pools and steps defeat cheaper models.
Customer experience
No strangers in the garden every week.
Jobs and redeployment
Pool technicians keep chemistry and repairs; cleaning visits shrink.
التنظيم
None for private pools; public pools have water-testing rules.

ذو صلة

مصادر هذه الصفحة

الملاحظات والمصادر بالإنجليزية، والنص الإنجليزي هو المرجع.

  1. Weekly professional pool service $100-$150 per month PoolRobots.com, 2026-10 · vendor
  2. Maytronics Dolphin residential robotic pool cleaners $849-$1,449 (mid-range models) Maytronics US store, 2026-10-25 · vendor
  3. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (median hourly wage by occupation) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025-05
  4. Employer Costs for Employee Compensation, June 2026: wages and salaries 70.0% of private-industry compensation (series CMU2020000000000P) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2026-06
  5. Mean nominal hourly earnings of employees by sex and occupation (ISCO-08), DF_EAR_EHRA_SEX_OCU_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), from national labour force and earnings surveys, 2025
  6. Labour cost levels by NACE Rev. 2 activity (lc_lci_lev): Germany 2022-2025, total labour cost vs wages and salaries per hour Eurostat, 2025
  7. Rates and thresholds for employers 2025 to 2026 (employer Class 1 NIC 15% above £5,000) HM Revenue & Customs, 2025-04-06
  8. 令和6年賃金構造基本統計調査 (Basic Survey on Wage Structure 2024), table 1 by occupation Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (via e-Stat), 2024-06
  9. Average monthly earnings of employees by sex and economic activity, DF_EAR_EMTA_SEX_ECO_CUR_NB ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization), 2022
  10. Average annual wage of employed persons in urban units in 2024 (by position and by region) National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025-05-20
  11. Euro foreign exchange reference rates (cross rates to USD), via Frankfurter European Central Bank, 2026-10-23
  12. Wright, T. P. (1936). Factors affecting the cost of airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 3(4), 122-128 Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, 1936
  13. Nagy, B., Farmer, J. D., Bui, Q. M., & Trancik, J. E. (2013). Statistical basis for predicting technological progress. PLoS ONE, 8(2), e52669 (62 technologies; Wright's law among the best hindcasters; errors grow with horizon) PLoS ONE, 2013